Durango vs Mineros de Fresnillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
38.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
DUR
2 - 1
MZA
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 3
DUR
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
DUR
0 - 2
GUA
37%
24%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
TIJ
2 - 0
DUR
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -3 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MZA
3 - 2
DUR
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 2
LEO
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
MIN
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 1
TIJ
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ASL
3 - 2
MIN
48%
23%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -3 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
MIN
6 - 0
DSJ
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | +1 |