Durango vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ORI
1 - 1
DUR
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 3
UAT
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
REB
0 - 2
DUR
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 3
LEO
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
PUM
2 - 0
DUR
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MER
3 - 0
GUE
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
VER
2 - 2
MER
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
MER
0 - 1
UDG
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
IRA
2 - 1
MER
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MER
0 - 0
NEC
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |