Durango vs Lobos de Tlaxcala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
TAB
3 - 2
DUR
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
DUR
0 - 0
TIG
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
TRO
3 - 0
DUR
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
DOR
4 - 1
DUR
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
DUR
3 - 2
ACA
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lobos de Tlaxcala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
LOB
1 - 1
DOR
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
ACA
3 - 1
LOB
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
LOB
2 - 2
LEO
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ORI
2 - 1
LOB
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
LOB
1 - 2
COB
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |