Durango vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 2
TIJ
35%
28%
38%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
GUE
0 - 1
DUR
34%
29%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
DUR
1 - 2
VER
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
UDG
1 - 1
DUR
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 3
IRA
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
LOB
3 - 0
GUE
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VER
2 - 0
LOB
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
LOB
1 - 2
UDG
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
IRA
2 - 1
LOB
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LOB
1 - 0
NEC
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |