Durango vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
PUM
2 - 0
DUR
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
LOB
1 - 0
DUR
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
TIJ
3 - 2
DUR
55%
25%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
DUR
4 - 3
GUE
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
VER
2 - 2
DUR
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LEO
2 - 0
GUE
82%
13%
6%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
VER
3 - 0
LEO
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
LEO
2 - 0
UDG
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
IRA
0 - 0
LEO
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LEO
1 - 3
NEC
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |