Durango vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
PUM
4 - 2
DUR
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
DUR
0 - 1
CAZ
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
DUR
0 - 2
UAT
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
LOB
0 - 1
DUR
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 0
ORI
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
IRA
2 - 2
MER
54%
24%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 4
IRA
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
LEO
1 - 1
IRA
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
IRA
3 - 2
ALT
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
GUE
1 - 2
IRA
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |