Durango vs Gavilanes Matamoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CAT
2 - 3
DUR
11%
27%
62%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DUR
3 - 1
TRI
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
ATS
1 - 1
DUR
21%
27%
52%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DUR
2 - 1
CSI
84%
13%
4%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAZ
1 - 1
DUR
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gavilanes Matamoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
GAV
2 - 1
ZAC
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MIN
0 - 0
GAV
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
GAV
0 - 0
NAY
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 2
GAV
17%
24%
59%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
CAZ
1 - 0
GAV
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |