Durango vs Gavilanes Matamoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
REB
2 - 4
DUR
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
DUR
2 - 0
ASL
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
COR
1 - 1
DUR
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
DUR
3 - 1
CHI
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
DUR
1 - 2
NAY
21%
26%
54%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gavilanes Matamoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
COL
2 - 0
GAV
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
GAV
2 - 2
REY
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
GAV
3 - 0
ATL
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MUR
3 - 1
GAV
54%
24%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
GAV
2 - 0
MIN
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |