Durango vs Gavilanes Matamoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
REY
1 - 0
DUR
66%
21%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
LEO
4 - 0
DUR
72%
18%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
DUR
1 - 2
EST
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
LOR
5 - 0
DUR
80%
13%
6%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
DUR
1 - 0
NEX
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Gavilanes Matamoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
GAV
2 - 2
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
GAV
1 - 0
TIJ
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 2
GAV
23%
24%
54%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
GAV
2 - 3
CHI
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PAC
0 - 1
GAV
23%
23%
53%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |