Durango vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 4
DUR
15%
25%
60%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
DUR
3 - 1
ATS
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CSI
0 - 0
DUR
11%
23%
67%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
DUR
3 - 0
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
DUR
2 - 1
ZAC
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
ZAC
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 0
EST
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
EST
1 - 3
REB
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 2
EST
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
EST
3 - 1
MAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |