Durango vs UA Tamaulipas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
DUR
1 - 1
CSI
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
GAV
0 - 0
DUR
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
DUR
0 - 1
MON
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LEO
5 - 0
DUR
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
DUR
1 - 2
TEM
26%
27%
48%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
UA Tamaulipas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
COR
2 - 0
PAC
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
COR
1 - 2
EST
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
GAV
3 - 1
COR
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
COR
1 - 0
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LEO
1 - 1
COR
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +2 |