Durango vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
DUR
67%
21%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
DUR
4 - 2
TEP
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
DUR
3 - 1
TAM
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
REY
1 - 0
DUR
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
DUR
0 - 2
ZAC
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CIM
0 - 0
SOL
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 2
CIM
49%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
UAP
2 - 0
CIM
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
CIM
1 - 0
UAP
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TIA
0 - 0
CIM
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |