Durango vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 0
DUR
31%
27%
43%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
DUR
2 - 3
ALT
68%
19%
14%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
COR
0 - 1
DUR
21%
25%
55%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
DUR
2 - 1
CIU
73%
17%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
DUR
3 - 3
BLN
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CIM
1 - 0
VAQ
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
TEP
1 - 0
CIM
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
CIM
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -3 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CIM
1 - 0
AGU
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CIM
1 - 1
ALT
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |