Durango vs Cimarrones II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.5%
3.9%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAZ
1 - 1
DUR
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
DUR
1 - 1
CAZ
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
DUR
0 - 0
CAF
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
CAF
0 - 0
DUR
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
DUR
4 - 0
MAZ
70%
18%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CSI
2 - 0
MIN
14%
20%
67%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
CSI
76%
16%
9%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CSI
1 - 2
LEO
34%
25%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ATS
1 - 0
CSI
72%
18%
11%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CSI
1 - 4
COL
18%
24%
59%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |