Durango vs Cimarrones II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
COL
2 - 1
DUR
38%
29%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ZAC
0 - 1
DUR
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
DUR
5 - 0
GAV
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
REB
2 - 4
DUR
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
DUR
2 - 0
ASL
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Cimarrones II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
CSI
1 - 3
ZAC
17%
24%
59%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
GAV
1 - 0
CSI
78%
15%
7%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CSI
1 - 1
REB
21%
26%
54%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ASL
2 - 1
CSI
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
CSI
1 - 2
MAZ
16%
21%
64%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |