Durango vs Cimarrones II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
EST
1 - 2
DUR
41%
27%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
DUR
4 - 0
COR
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 0
DUR
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
NAY
3 - 2
DUR
73%
19%
8%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
DUR
2 - 2
TEM
25%
26%
48%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CSI
0 - 2
NAY
3%
16%
82%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TEM
1 - 0
CSI
78%
15%
8%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CSI
1 - 3
REY
19%
27%
55%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
CSI
2 - 2
ATL
20%
23%
58%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
MUR
3 - 0
CSI
81%
14%
5%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | 0 |