Durango vs Cimarrones II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
GAV
0 - 0
DUR
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
DUR
0 - 1
MON
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LEO
5 - 0
DUR
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
DUR
1 - 2
TEM
26%
27%
48%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NEX
1 - 1
DUR
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cimarrones II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CSI
0 - 2
REY
37%
26%
38%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
5 - 1
CSI
60%
23%
18%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CSI
1 - 2
NAY
14%
24%
62%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
CSI
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CSI
1 - 3
LOR
19%
23%
58%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +1 |