Durango vs Atlético Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MUR
4 - 2
DUR
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
DUR
4 - 1
MIN
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
ATS
0 - 0
DUR
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
ZAC
1 - 1
DUR
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
DUR
1 - 0
LEO
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 2
NAY
3%
16%
81%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
TEM
3 - 0
ATL
86%
11%
3%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 3
REY
21%
26%
53%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CHI
4 - 0
ATL
61%
22%
16%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
MUR
8 - 2
ATL
78%
16%
6%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |