Durango vs Acapulco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
LEO
3 - 0
DUR
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
DUR
0 - 3
ORI
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
COB
2 - 1
DUR
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
DUR
3 - 3
MEX
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
MER
2 - 2
DUR
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Acapulco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
ACA
2 - 1
DOR
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
TRO
0 - 0
ACA
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
LEO
3 - 3
ACA
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
ACA
0 - 0
ORI
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
COB
1 - 2
ACA
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |