Durango U19 vs Gazte Berriak U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+121%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
13º
16º
15º
25
13º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
RSO
4 - 2
DUR
91%
7%
2%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DUR
1 - 1
LEI
12%
18%
70%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DUR
0 - 1
UDL
38%
23%
39%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SJU
1 - 0
DUR
50%
24%
26%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
DUR
0 - 2
OSA
11%
17%
72%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Gazte Berriak U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CFG
0 - 0
SJU
24%
23%
52%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OSA
4 - 0
CFG
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CFG
0 - 0
ANT
10%
17%
73%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VAS
2 - 1
CFG
64%
19%
18%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CFG
2 - 4
TXA
8%
14%
78%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | -1 |