Duque de Caxias vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
67.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BOA
3 - 1
DUQ
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
DUQ
2 - 2
BOA
25%
27%
48%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
POR
4 - 0
DUQ
86%
11%
3%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
2 - 0
DUQ
74%
17%
10%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 1
VIL
38%
26%
37%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 0
AME
83%
13%
4%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLA
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
UCH
2 - 0
VAS
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 2
VAS
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 1
UCH
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |