Duque de Caxias vs Serrano FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 0
DUQ
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
DUQ
2 - 0
GOY
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GOY
0 - 1
DUQ
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
PER
2 - 3
DUQ
41%
27%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
DUQ
3 - 2
SFC
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 0
DUQ
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 1
BAR
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
SFC
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
PAD
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
DUQ
3 - 2
SFC
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |