Duque de Caxias vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
DUQ
83%
12%
4%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 0
DUQ
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
DUQ
1 - 2
POR
12%
23%
65%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DUQ
2 - 0
NCI
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 2
DUQ
64%
22%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
SAO
38%
26%
37%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GOY
1 - 1
SER
28%
25%
46%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SER
1 - 0
ANG
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DUQ
0 - 1
SER
46%
26%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SER
1 - 4
SFC
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |