Duque de Caxias vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
GOY
1 - 0
DUQ
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
DUQ
0 - 1
OLA
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
DUQ
4 - 0
RIO
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CIG
0 - 3
DUQ
33%
23%
44%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DUQ
2 - 2
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SER
1 - 3
RIO
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CIG
0 - 4
SER
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CGA
1 - 0
SER
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
OLA
45%
25%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GOY
1 - 1
SER
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |