Duque de Caxias vs Resende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 1
DUQ
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 2
FLA
16%
21%
62%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
DUQ
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
DUQ
3 - 1
AME
52%
23%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 3
VOL
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
RES
2 - 0
BOA
34%
23%
43%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FRI
0 - 0
RES
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
RES
2 - 1
FLU
11%
18%
72%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
RES
1 - 3
FLA
14%
20%
67%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
RES
2 - 1
MAD
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |