Duque de Caxias vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
50.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 0
DUQ
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
DUQ
2 - 2
CAL
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
DUQ
44%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
VAS
4 - 0
DUQ
84%
12%
4%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MAC
4 - 1
DUQ
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 0
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PPE
0 - 4
MOG
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
MOG
4 - 4
PAU
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
MOG
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
MOG
2 - 5
SAN
16%
23%
61%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |