Duque de Caxias vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 1
DUQ
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 1
BON
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 2
DUQ
81%
15%
5%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 1
FRI
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
DUQ
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MAD
3 - 0
AUD
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 4
MAC
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 0
MAD
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
MAD
3 - 2
FLU
15%
24%
61%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MAD
2 - 1
BOA
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |