Duque de Caxias vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
47.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 1
RES
36%
27%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
DUQ
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
FRI
1 - 1
DUQ
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 1
CAX
30%
28%
43%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 0
BON
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
MAC
4 - 0
BAR
72%
18%
11%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 0
MAC
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 0
MAC
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
MAC
6 - 1
CGA
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |