Duque de Caxias vs Ipatinga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
COT
0 - 2
DUQ
72%
20%
9%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
DUQ
2 - 2
FFL
23%
25%
53%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
PPE
1 - 0
DUQ
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
DUQ
2 - 1
BRA
41%
26%
34%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
AMF
2 - 1
DUQ
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 1
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
IFC
5 - 1
COT
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
FFL
5 - 0
IFC
72%
18%
11%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 1
ARN
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 0
IFC
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |