Duque de Caxias vs Ipatinga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
41.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
DUQ
0 - 0
BRA
29%
26%
46%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
BAH
1 - 2
DUQ
70%
18%
11%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
DUQ
0 - 1
VAS
15%
24%
61%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ARN
0 - 1
DUQ
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
DUQ
4 - 3
FOR
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
IFC
2 - 1
ABC
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
IFC
48%
25%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
IFC
0 - 0
BAH
58%
22%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
IFC
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
IFC
2 - 0
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |