Duque de Caxias vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
59.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BOA
0 - 0
DUQ
44%
23%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 2
OLA
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
FLA
3 - 2
DUQ
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
DUQ
4 - 1
PPE
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
FFL
1 - 2
DUQ
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 0
VOL
81%
14%
5%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
FLU
3 - 0
BAN
80%
15%
6%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
AME
0 - 3
FLU
12%
20%
68%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
COT
1 - 1
FLU
33%
27%
41%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 0
LIG
56%
23%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |