Duque de Caxias vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
74.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
VAS
3 - 1
DUQ
89%
8%
3%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
AME
3 - 0
DUQ
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
DUQ
1 - 1
TIG
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CON
3 - 2
DUQ
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
DUQ
4 - 1
RIO
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 0
RES
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
FLU
0 - 0
MAD
87%
11%
3%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CAB
3 - 1
FLU
9%
19%
72%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FLU
1 - 1
IFC
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLU
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |