Duque de Caxias vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
DUQ
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
DUQ
3 - 1
AME
52%
23%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 3
VOL
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 2
DUQ
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
DUQ
86%
11%
4%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 3
RIO
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 2
BOA
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
BAT
5 - 0
FLA
10%
18%
72%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 2
JUV
81%
14%
5%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLA
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |