Duque de Caxias vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 2
DUQ
34%
24%
42%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 2
DUQ
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 1
DUQ
34%
26%
41%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 0
VOL
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
VAS
4 - 2
DUQ
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 0
TAU
87%
11%
3%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FLA
3 - 3
MAD
80%
14%
5%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
FLA
17%
23%
60%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 0
ITA
85%
12%
3%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAB
0 - 0
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | -1 |