Duque de Caxias vs Nova Cidade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 2
DUQ
64%
22%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
DUQ
0 - 1
BAN
25%
26%
49%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
DUQ
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
DUQ
2 - 0
MAC
54%
23%
24%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ADC
1 - 1
DUQ
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Cidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 0
NCI
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NCI
5 - 0
ANG
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CIG
1 - 0
NCI
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NCI
0 - 0
DUQ
23%
22%
55%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
RIO
3 - 0
NCI
38%
22%
40%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |