Duque de Caxias vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
42.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 0
BON
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 3
GUA
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
RES
1 - 0
DUQ
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 0
DUQ
58%
24%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
MOG
3 - 1
DUQ
77%
16%
7%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CAX
0 - 3
TUP
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
CAX
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CAX
0 - 3
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAX
32%
29%
39%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CAX
1 - 0
MAC
47%
25%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |