Duque de Caxias vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
DUQ
2 - 1
BON
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 0
DUQ
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
1 - 0
DUQ
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GRÊ
3 - 2
DUQ
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 1
CAB
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CAX
1 - 1
GRÊ
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAX
2 - 1
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MAD
1 - 1
CAX
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CAX
3 - 0
CRA
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MOG
2 - 1
CAX
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |