Duque de Caxias vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
53.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 3
DUQ
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
DUQ
2 - 0
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2015 |
AME
2 - 0
DUQ
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 3
DUQ
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
DUQ
3 - 0
GRE
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 1
CRA
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 0
BOT
27%
29%
44%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
BOT
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 3
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAO
16%
23%
62%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | +2 |