Carioca 2 FINAL STAGES Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Duque de Caxias vs CEAC / Araruama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
CGA
0 - 1
DUQ
40%
25%
36%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DUQ
0 - 1
SER
46%
26%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ANG
0 - 3
DUQ
24%
26%
50%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NCI
0 - 0
DUQ
23%
22%
55%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DUQ
1 - 1
SFC
44%
25%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 7
ADC
20%
20%
61%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ADC
2 - 0
PER
27%
24%
50%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CGA
0 - 2
ADC
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ADC
2 - 1
SER
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ANG
0 - 2
ADC
28%
22%
50%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |