Duque de Caxias vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
48.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 2
DUQ
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
DUQ
2 - 1
PAR
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 0
DUQ
80%
13%
7%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
DUQ
1 - 2
CEA
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
SAO
4 - 0
DUQ
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
JUV
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 0
POR
26%
28%
46%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
POR
4 - 3
GUA
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
ARN
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 0
POR
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |