Duque de Caxias vs 7 de Abril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 0
DUQ
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FRI
0 - 1
DUQ
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DUQ
1 - 0
SAO
43%
26%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GOY
0 - 1
DUQ
36%
27%
38%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DUQ
4 - 1
SER
41%
26%
34%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
7 de Abril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CIG
1 - 5
SAO
21%
21%
59%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GOY
3 - 0
CIG
50%
22%
27%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CIG
0 - 6
SER
25%
22%
53%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
5 - 3
CIG
52%
22%
27%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CIG
0 - 1
NCI
44%
23%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |