FA Cup Previa 2
Global 6-3
Dunston UTS vs Goole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunston UTS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 0
OUF
60%
19%
21%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
DUN
30%
22%
48%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
5 - 2
CON
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
DUN
42%
22%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 1
MOR
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
HAL
0 - 3
GOO
8%
13%
80%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
GOO
1 - 5
MOR
14%
17%
69%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
OSS
7 - 2
GOO
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GOO
1 - 0
TRA
17%
21%
63%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
GOO
2 - 2
OSS
20%
22%
57%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |