FA Cup Previa 1
Global 6-3
Dunston UTS vs Consett AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
28.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunston UTS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
DUN
42%
22%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 1
MOR
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 0
SPE
14%
17%
70%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 4
GAT
18%
20%
61%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
DUN
4 - 3
CHE
22%
22%
56%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Consett AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
DUN
42%
22%
37%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
WAR
2 - 0
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CON
3 - 3
WAR
24%
22%
54%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
CON
24%
20%
56%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CON
5 - 2
SEA
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |