Duns vs Heriot-Watt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
45.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 2
SPA
24%
20%
56%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 1
DUN
83%
10%
7%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
HAW
2 - 1
DUN
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 0
DUN
32%
22%
47%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 3
LOT
12%
15%
74%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
HER
4 - 1
ORM
47%
21%
32%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
TYN
6 - 2
HER
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
LEI
7 - 0
HER
82%
11%
7%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 0
HER
22%
20%
59%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 0
HER
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -3 |