Irish Cup Northern Ireland Last 16
Global 1-4
Dunmurry Recreation vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
80.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunmurry Recreation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
KRF
0 - 5
DRF
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
DRF
2 - 2
KRF
36%
24%
41%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
INS
6 - 0
DRF
78%
15%
8%
|
12 | 59 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 4
LIN
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 0
BAL
71%
19%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 0
GLE
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
CLI
2 - 4
LIN
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 1
GLE
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |