Dunkerque vs Guingamp analysis

Dunkerque Guingamp
79 ELO 80
1.3% Tilt 0.3%
712º General ELO ranking 609º
25º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
37.5%
Dunkerque
26.8%
Draw
35.7%
Guingamp

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
Dunkerque
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.7%
Win probability
Guingamp
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dunkerque
+16%
+3%
Guingamp

Points and table prediction

Dunkerque
Their league position
Guingamp
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
17º
55
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lorient
71
71
100%
Paris FC
69
69
100%
Metz
65
65
100%
Dunkerque
56
56
100%
Guingamp
55
55
100%
Annecy
51
51
100%
Stade Lavallois
50
50
100%
Bastia
48
48
100%
Grenoble
46
46
100%
Troyes
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Amiens SC
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Ajaccio
12º
42
42
12º
0%
Pau FC
13º
42
42
13º
0%
Rodez
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Red Star
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Clermont
16º
33
33
16º
100%
FC Martigues
17º
32
32
17º
100%
Caen
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Dunkerque
Guingamp
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Dunkerque
Guingamp
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dunkerque
Dunkerque
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2025
DUN
Dunkerque
2 - 4
PSG
PSG
6%
13%
82%
79 99 20 0
28 Mar. 2025
BAS
Bastia
2 - 0
Dunkerque
DUN
35%
28%
37%
79 78 1 0
15 Mar. 2025
DUN
Dunkerque
2 - 3
Metz
MET
34%
28%
39%
79 84 5 0
10 Mar. 2025
ROD
Rodez
5 - 1
Dunkerque
DUN
37%
27%
37%
80 76 4 -1
03 Mar. 2025
AJA
Ajaccio
1 - 2
Dunkerque
DUN
25%
28%
47%
79 72 7 +1

Matches

Guingamp
Guingamp
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2025
GUI
Guingamp
2 - 0
Stade Lavallois
STL
50%
26%
24%
80 78 2 0
14 Mar. 2025
TRO
Troyes
0 - 1
Guingamp
GUI
36%
27%
38%
80 78 2 0
07 Mar. 2025
GUI
Guingamp
3 - 1
Clermont
CLE
47%
26%
26%
79 78 1 +1
01 Mar. 2025
RED
Red Star
3 - 1
Guingamp
GUI
31%
27%
43%
80 73 7 -1
25 Feb. 2025
CAN
Cannes
3 - 1
Guingamp
GUI
19%
21%
60%
80 65 15 0