USL Dunkerque U19 vs Lens U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
37.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
13º
7º
29
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
46.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USL Dunkerque U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
QUE
3 - 2
DKQ
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
DKQ
4 - 4
AMI
31%
24%
46%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MON
1 - 2
DKQ
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
DKQ
1 - 0
OLM
73%
16%
12%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
DKQ
1 - 0
CHA
61%
19%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lens U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
LEN
1 - 2
CAE
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ORL
0 - 1
LEN
40%
23%
38%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
LEN
1 - 2
LIL
42%
23%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 0
LEN
23%
20%
57%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
LEN
1 - 5
VAL
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |