Dunkerque U19 vs Caen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
36.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+67%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
14º
7º
36
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
86% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunkerque U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
DKQ
2 - 2
VAL
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 2
DKQ
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DKQ
2 - 0
GON
75%
14%
11%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LEN
1 - 1
DKQ
80%
12%
8%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
DKQ
1 - 1
LIL
31%
21%
48%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
MON
5 - 1
CAE
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 2
DKQ
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PSG
6 - 0
CAE
84%
10%
6%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 0
SRA
67%
17%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
CAE
44%
23%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |