Dungannon Swifts vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
DON
0 - 0
DUN
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
DUN
2 - 1
LAR
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
LIS
1 - 0
DUN
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
LIM
0 - 1
DUN
33%
26%
42%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
DUN
1 - 0
BAL
58%
22%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
LOU
3 - 3
BAL
27%
26%
48%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
ARC
1 - 0
LOU
58%
24%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
LOU
0 - 3
POR
19%
24%
56%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
LIN
7 - 0
LOU
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
LOU
1 - 2
CLI
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |