Dungannon Swifts vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CLI
4 - 1
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
LIN
19%
22%
59%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
DUN
35%
26%
40%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
COL
2 - 0
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 0
CRU
19%
23%
57%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 4
BAL
36%
25%
40%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
DON
0 - 3
LIS
39%
24%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
LIS
9 - 0
COA
49%
22%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LIS
1 - 2
CLI
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
LIN
4 - 0
LIS
75%
18%
8%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |